Prinsjesdag 2026: drie positieve punten

De Klimaat- en Energieverkenning 2026, die het Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving (PBL) voorafgaand aan Prinsjesdag publiceerde, schetst een ontnuchterend beeld van de Nederlandse energietransitie. Toch blijkt uit de Miljoenennota 2027 dat de overheid, ondanks deze voorzichtige vooruitzichten, aanzienlijke financiële toezeggingen doet. Wij bespreken drie positieve punten die hoopgevende perspectieven bieden voor de Nederlandse energie- en industriesector.

Iris Kieft

Lisa Schoenmakers

Eline van Leeuwen

18 September 2026

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#1. Offshore wind: An engine of the Dutch energy transitionThe Climate and Energy Outlook 2026 shows that the growing share of renewable energy in the Netherlands is driven by offshore wind. Installed offshore wind capacity is projected to roughly double under the Dutch baseline scenario for greenhouse gas emissions. The introduction of Contracts for Difference (CfDs), two-sided price support mechanisms, are expected [is expected] to drive wind capacity materially higher. PBL does note that the effect of CfDs will become visible mainly after 2030, given the long processing times inherent in offshore wind development. The government's investment overview for 2026–2035 includes a dedicated investment line for offshore wind of €5.9 billion. If tender timelines hold and CfDs are deployed as planned, this could close the gap between PBL's baseline projection and the higher-capacity scenarios.
#2. Additional funding for ccs: Public capital to the rescue for AramisThe Aramis CCS project, critical to Dutch emission reduction targets, has been delayed. PBL warns that this major infrastructure project for transport and storage of CO₂ beneath the North Sea seabed will therefore contribute substantially to emission reductions only after 2030. The Miljoenennota 2027 addresses this with a concrete commitment: on top of earlier contributions, the cabinet has made an additional €1.3 billion available for the Aramis project to mitigate the risk that demand for CO₂ storage capacity fails to ramp up quickly enough to support a positive investment decision. Other CCS projects would similarly benefit from government support.
#3. Unlocking the energy transition: over €10 billion to tackle infrastructure bottlenecksThe PBL warns that the development of key energy infrastructure is falling behind schedule across several areas. Grid expansion, in particular, is proceeding more slowly than planned. The Miljoenennota 2027 signals that the government intends to act on these bottlenecks with over €10 billion in additional investments across the 2026 - 2035 period, targeting grid reinforcement, hydrogen infrastructure, and heat networks. Reducing grid congestion is named as an explicit policy goal, alongside a broader commitment to tackling regulatory bottlenecks and lengthy permitting processes so that businesses have room to invest and grow.

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